Forecasting the Use of Irrigation Systems with Transition Probabilities in Texas

Yinjie Feng, Eduardo Segarra


An irrigation system transition probability matrix and a forecast of irrigation system adoption are estimated for Texas using tbe probability-constrained minimum absolute deviation (MAD) modeling approach. The results show that the adoption of advanced irrigation systems is slow, and that a transition from irrigated to dryland crop production is expected in the future.


irrigation system adoption; probability-constrained modeling

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